Here are quotes of IT industry leaders and prominent persons from 1950 to present time. Some quotes are funny or amazing and other may be plain boring. Long read.
https://www.techspot.com/article/3134-tech-predictions-and-quotes-v2/
3 Likes
These are fascinating! And entertaining at the same time. For example, from that list:
“I predict the Internet will soon go spectacularly supernova and in 1996 catastrophically collapse” – Robert Metcalfe, Founder of 3com and co-inventor of the Ethernet wrote this in a magazine column [Infoworld, December 1995]
I think oftentimes we humans can fail to grasp something, mentally and ideologically, based on personal preference and a small set of experiences. This is especially true when considering something as far-reaching, multifaceted, and endlessly applicable as the internet back then, or, AI today.
Both technologies have so much in common in terms of their potential for the good of mankind, but also their potential for misuse.
Edit: What’s also really cool is the fact that both the internet and now AI suffer from demand/supply issues: poor reliability caused largely by a lack of capacity and other nuances.
So I would say it’s encouraging to see that while, even by modern technology standards for online services, AI chatbots like ChatGPT, Claude, etc. have been terrible regarding uptime, compared to the internet in the mid-90s as a whole, the most in-demand services today are much more reliable.
Less than 99%, should be 99.999% by today’s standards, but considering the demand, and history of mass adoption, it’s quite amazing, this would have probably been ~ 80 to 90 a few decades ago:
I was telling someone it’s similar to 1990s - 2000s Formula 1. While reliability of the cars this year of new regulations, may seem very poor to new fans, the cars today are actuallly still massively more reliable than those in the 90s and 2000s.
| F1 Seasion | Finishers/Starters | % Average Finishers |
|---|---|---|
| 1991 | 13.8/26 | 53% |
| 2001 | 12.9/22 | 59% |
| 2005 | 15.4/20 | 77% |
| 2006 | 15.1/22 | 68% |
| 2010 | 18.1/24 | 75% |
| 2011 | 19.9/24 | 83% |
| 2025 | 18/20 | 90% |
It’s funny how much improvement in 20 to 30 years. But also that with AI working on itself we are looking at 5 to 10 years max of unrelibitly. As it’s already tasked with finding capacity solutions and more efficient programing for itself, on which it can work 24/7.
Amazing time to be alive!
3 Likes